Smoke and mirrors at the bank

26 01 2010

I was chatting to a banker on Saturday at work. He’d come to buy a few seedlings for his veggie garden and we struck up a conversation. He is with the agri-banking sector of ZB Bank, formally known as Zimbank. The government has a share in it and it is one of the banks that has been affected by the US and European sanctions so they have been treading a conservative line. He asked how my business was going and I replied that it was very slow; in my opinion there was just not money available for loan at realistic interest. He agreed that rates of 25% or more were stifling lending but that around April ZB was getting a cash injection from an investor. I speculated that it was part of Robert’s “Look East” (to Malaysia) policy. No, the banker replied, this is look south. I assumed he meant South Africa. He just laughed.

I mentioned that I banked with CBZ (Commercial Bank of Zimbabwe). He raised his eyebrows and cautioned me to be careful. Now I’ve had nothing but good service from my branch of CBZ ever since I pulled my corporate account away from Barclays for utterly dismal service some years ago. When pressed he told me that CBZ are in good financial shape because the government is using them as the national bank so if normality ever returns and the Reserve Bank resumes banking to the government as it should, CBZ will not have the reserves that it enjoys today and could collapse. I asked if I could pick that up in the CBZ annual report. He laughed – it seems there are many ways to hide accounts from auditors.

CBZ started out as BCCI (Bank of Credit and Commerce International) which was known locally as Bank of Crooks and Conmen International. It was Pakistani founded with major middle east shareholders and went belly up in spectacular way some years back (check out the Wikipedia reference for some entertaining reading). The government here bought out the local concern and it was mostly owned/run by Gideon Gono who has been in charge of the Reserve Bank for some years though he apparently has a reduced role in CBZ these days. Some years back ABSA, a big South African banking group, bought around 23% of CBZ shares and it was seen as a mark of approval. CBZ have since bought back those shares. While most other Zimbabwe banks are battling the stagnated economy CBZ is apparently blooming. One has to ask how they have done it.

Maybe it’s time to open another corporate account with a bank that makes less use of smoke and mirrors.





Aquarians

20 01 2010

They are everywhere these days – the water carriers. I was driving behind a 10 tonner this afternoon, water sloshing out of the 3000 litre tanks on the back. A lot of them like this one are not even proper tankers; they just have plastic tanks tied down on the back of the truck. Some of them pay the price too and on more than one occasion I have seen broken tanks and even an overturned trailer.

Water selling has been lucrative for some time now since the water treatment plant at Lake Chivero, Harare’s water supply, fell into disrepair. I know people who have not had municipal water supplied for in excess of two years now. It follows that borehole drilling and pump supplies have also been good business (as has borehole pump theft). For those who can afford a hole drilled and get good water (not a given) this has not been too much of a problem, until now. The promised el Nino drought is starting to make its presence felt and I know of several friends whose boreholes are starting to run dry. Which is good news for the water sellers.

I don’t know what the hygiene requirements are for supplying water; whether it has to be potable or not. There is one setup just down the road from my business and rather close to a municipal rubbish tip that is hiding in a premises that is ostenisbly selling used tires. A friend tried to buy some tires there a few days ago and just got blank stares. I have seen the tanker filling up inside on several occasions – used tyres? No, water!





Just for the record

11 01 2010

The actual figures of Zimbabwe’s hyperinflation in 2008 will be the subject of papers and theses for years to come. A few weeks ago I did come across a locally produced estimate in a banking promotion given out with one of the independant newspapers.

The CPI (consumer price index) in October 2008 rose by some 46,134,120% implying an annual rate of 64,070,807,881,462,900%

Just thought I should mention it!





The status quo

11 01 2010

Hi Bridget,

Yes, there is no denying that Zim is a lot better off than a year ago. Everything is available albeit at a high price (especially electonics!). The basic food stuffs are reasonably priced and some things like beer (essentials!) are the same price as in SA. I would say that some 90% or more of what I see on supermarket shelves is imported. I even saw imported tomatoes the other day which in my opinion is scandalous! If you stuck to the touristy things you would not know that there was much wrong because they are not dependent on local inputs, just you the tourist bringing money in. As farming inputs go I can get whatever I need and prices have come down with competition though a lot of our chemicals seem to come out of China along with a few worries about what is actually in them. I was out at the TRB (Tobacco Research Board) the other day and they did mention that they’d had a lot of reports of phytotoxicity on seed beds this season though that might also have been due to imcompetence.

We are still as a nation not producing much though with the gold price being what it is that aspect does seem to be coming along. The flower exporters (who hadn’t been kicked off) took a massive knock whith the world-wide economic crisis of course. This year is also a full blown el Niño so rains have been very patchy and some areas are getting hammered. My senior foreman came back from leave in Manicaland last week and said that if they did not get good rain by this week their crops would be a write-off. I have heard from a friend whose son farms in the Chimoio area that they are equally bad. So no doubt the begging bowl will come out again!

Farmers getting kicked off the land is no longer the front page news that it was though I have heard via the grape vine that it is still happening. Maybe it’s because there are so few left that the rate has slacked off a bit! I do hear of people wanting to come back and I believe there is a drift in this direction. I’m not sure what they think they will actually do. I don’t see a lot happening until there is some sort of rule-of-law and of course that is definitely not going to happen as long as the incumbent is still there and he shows no sign of leaving. Loans are very hard to come by and conditions for collateral are ridiculous. I survive because I am a cash farmer but things are very tight right now – I have only 3 large commercial scale farmers left on my books.

The health services have improved a lot but are expensive relative to SA and if you don’t have medical aid you WILL have a problem at some stage! I suppose I should say that the private health services have improved massively but I was impressed with the Pari (large government run hospital in Harare) when I went there for some tests a while ago (that means it was functioning and clean and not the train smash that it was last year!)

Education is fine if you can afford the private schools – Peterhouse girls all in is now $3000 per term. A friend says that is more expensive than Rhodes University! Government schools are functioning which is certainly and improvement but as to the standards I cannot comment.

So yes we are in for another tough year.

Ciao,
Andy.





More beetles!

9 01 2010

OK, so I find beetles fascinating. This dude has some impressive armour and mandibles. I put it in a Ziploc bag last night and it chewed its way out in about 5 minutes so it had to overnight in the fridge. It woke up in about 10 minutes today so I had to be quick.

Giant Longhorn beetle - Tithoes confinis





Self-employed

6 01 2010

Blotched long-horned antlion - Tmesibasis lacerata

There are some distinct advantages to being self-employed. One of the more ludicrous examples I can think of was when I had to sign my own letter of approval to go on leave to South Africa when applying for a visa! This morning I asked myself if I wanted to photograph this ant lion or go to work. I eventually got to work at 9h30 – we are not exactly busy at the moment.

Detail of the above






Graceless

6 01 2010

There is an L shaped piece of land between me and my next door neighbours. It is about 40ha and is good ground. Last year Grace Mugabe farmed it with soy beans (well she got somebody else to do it but I did see her “inspecting” on occasion). They were late getting the crop sown and it was riddled with weeds so I guess the yield was not great. The year before that some white commercial farmers managed to lease it and did a good job with their soy crop. It was spotless and they did well out of it – I asked one of them, facetiously, if they’d used Roundup Ready soy seed. He took me seriously and said no, but they were looking into using it. Roundup Ready soy beans are genetically modified to take a spray of Roundup (glyphosate) which is a herbicide that normally will kill everything. GM crops are banned in Zimbabwe for no good reason that I can think of but then logic IS in short supply around here.

This year Grace’s lot are again back and again they are late. For some time a very large, new, tractor was parked behind my work with an equally large cultivator behind it. It did eventually do some cultivating and then stood again before being removed, probably because the land was too wet. Last week I saw herbicide being sprayed on the cultivated land then a rather old tracked tractor appeared with a much smaller cultivator. It has been parked in the same spot for the last 3 days and now the rain has arrived so it cannot do any cultivating. Not a great start but it’s probably not her money anyway.

After the first crop of soy beans were harvested the locals moved in en masse to pick up the beans that had been dropped. They were there for most of the year – times must have been tough (it was the time of the Zimbabwe dollar fiasco). This year I noticed that at least a quarter of the field already had a substantial crop of self sown plants and I don’t recall anyone picking up the fallen beans. I guess times must have improved!





More of the same?

1 01 2010

The Rasta mun customer was upbeat – 2010 was going to be better but success would only come to those who worked for it. Not exactly heavy stuff but accurate enough I guess. Well, 2010 is here and yes it does look like being a beautiful day which is a start that is totally inauspicious.

Zimbabwe's national flower - the flame lily

The flame lilies are out in profusion at the microlight club runway. Curiously they exist elsewhere too; I saw one growing next to the beach on Koh Phanghan in Thailand in 1988.